Application of multi-agent games to the prediction of financial time-series
/ Authors
/ Abstract
We report on a technique based on multi-agent games which has potential use in the prediction of future movements of financial time series. A third-party game is trained on a black-box time series, and is then run into the future to extract next-step and multi-step predictions. In addition to the possibility of identifying profit opportunities, the technique may prove useful in the development of improved risk management strategies.
Journal: Physica A-statistical Mechanics and Its Applications