An Analytical and AI-discovered Stable, Accurate, and Generalizable Subgrid-scale Closure for Geophysical Turbulence

By combining artificial intelligence and fluid physics, we discover a closed-form closure for 2D turbulence from small direct numerical simulation data. Large-eddy simulation with this closure is accurate and stable, reproducing direct numerical simulation statistics, including those of extremes. We also show that the new closure could be derived from a fourth-order truncated Taylor expansion. Prior analytical and artificial-intelligence-based work only found the second-order expansion, which led to unstable large-eddy simulation. The additional terms emerge only when interscale energy transfer is considered alongside standard reconstruction criterion in the sparse-equation discovery.