Frequentist Cosmological Constraints from Full-Shape Clustering Measurements in DESI DR1
astro-ph.CO
/ Authors
James Morawetz, Hanyu Zhang, Marco Bonici, Will Percival, Andrea Crespi, Jessica Nicole Aguilar, Steven Ahlen, Davide Bianchi, David Brooks, Francisco Javier Castander
and 46 more authors
Todd Claybaugh, Shaun Cole, Andrei Cuceu, Axel de la Macorra, Arnaud de Mattia, Biprateep Dey, Peter Doel, Simone Ferraro, Andreu Font-Ribera, Jaime E. Forero-Romero, Enrique Gaztañaga, Satya Gontcho A Gontcho, Gaston Gutierrez, ChangHoon Hahn, Klaus Honscheid, Dragan Huterer, Mustapha Ishak, Dick Joyce, Robert Kehoe, David Kirkby, Theodore Kisner, Ofer Lahav, Andrew Lambert
/ Abstract
We perform a frequentist analysis using the standard profile likelihood method for clustering measurements from Data Release 1 of the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI). While Bayesian inferences for Effective Field Theory models of galaxy clustering can be highly sensitive to the choice of priors for extended cosmological models, frequentist inferences are not susceptible to such effects. We compare Bayesian and frequentist constraints for the parameter set $\{σ_8, H_0, Ω_{\rm{m}}, w_0, w_a\}$ when fitting to the full-shape of the power spectrum multipoles, the post-reconstruction Baryon Acoustic Oscillation (BAO) measurements, as well as external datasets from the CMB and type Ia supernovae measurements. Bayesian prior effects are very significant for the $w_0w_a$CDM model; while the $1 σ$ frequentist confidence intervals encompass the maximum a posteriori (MAP), the Bayesian credible intervals almost always exclude the maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) and the MAP - indicating strong prior volume projection effects - unless supernovae data are included. We observe limited prior effects for the $Λ$CDM model, due to the reduced number of parameters. When DESI full-shape and BAO data are jointly fit, we obtain the following $1σ$ frequentist confidence intervals for $Λ$CDM ($w_0w_a$CDM): $σ_8 = 0.867^{+0.048}_{-0.041} , \ H_0 = 68.91^{+0.80}_{-0.79} \ \rm{km \ s^{-1}Mpc^{-1}} , \ Ω_{\rm{m}} = 0.3038\pm0.0110$ ($σ_8 = 0.793^{+0.069}_{-0.048} , \ H_0 = 64.9^{+4.8}_{-2.8} \ \rm{km \ s^{-1}Mpc^{-1}} , \ Ω_{\rm{m}} = 0.369^{+0.029}_{-0.059}$ , $w_0 = -0.24^{+0.17}_{-0.64}$ , $w_a = -2.5^{+1.9}_{}$), corresponding to 0.7$σ$, 0.3$σ$, 0.7$σ$ (1.9$σ$, 3.4$σ$, 5.6$σ$, 5.5$σ$, 5.6$σ$) shifts between the MLE relative to the Bayesian posterior mean for $Λ$CDM ($w_0w_a$CDM) respectively.