Interpretation of IR variability of AGNs in the hollow bi-conical dust outflow model

Abstract We show that, contrary to simple predictions, most AGNs show at best only a small increase of lags with increasing wavelength in the J, H, K, and L bands. We suggest that a possible cause of this near simultaneity from the near-IR to the mid-IR is that the hot dust is in a hollow bi-conical outflow of which we preferentially see the near side. In the proposed model sublimation or re-creation of dust (with some delay relative luminosity variations) along our line of sight in the hollow cone as the flux varies could be a factor in explaining the AGN changing-look phenomenon (CL). Variations in the dust obscuration can help explain changes in relationship of Hβ time delay on Luv variability. The relative wavelength independence of IR lags simplifies the use of IR lags for estimating cosmological parameters.