Supersymmetry and dark matter in light of LHC 2010 and XENON100 data

We make frequentist analyses of the CMSSM, NUHM1, VCMSSM and mSUGRA parameter spaces taking into account all the public results of searches for supersymmetry using data from the 2010 LHC run and the XENON100 direct search for dark matter scattering. The LHC data set includes ATLAS and CMS searches for $\mathrm{jets} + {\not}E_{T}$ events (with or without leptons) and for the heavier MSSM Higgs bosons, and the upper limit on BR(Bs→μ+μ−) including data from LHCb as well as CDF and DØ. The absence of signals in the LHC data favours somewhat heavier mass spectra than in our previous analyses of the CMSSM, NUHM1 and VCMSSM, and somewhat smaller dark matter scattering cross sections, all close to or within the pre-LHC 68% CL ranges, but does not impact significantly the favoured regions of the mSUGRA parameter space. We also discuss the impact of the XENON100 constraint on spin-independent dark matter scattering, stressing the importance of taking into account the uncertainty in the π-nucleon σ term ΣπN, which affects the spin-independent scattering matrix element, and we make predictions for spin-dependent dark matter scattering. Finally, we discuss briefly the potential impact of the updated predictions for sparticle masses in the CMSSM, NUHM1, VCMSSM and mSUGRA on future e+e− colliders.